The developers at Epic Games have broken Han Solo’s cardinal rule, telling players the odds of obtaining the Pirate Shop token, a limited-time item that gives its lucky finders the ability to take just about anything they want from the item shop for free. The disclosure comes after days of aspiring treasure hunters crashing out on social media, complaining about what they see as the unfairness built into earning the token, calling for a boycott, and in one instance alerting the U.S. Federal Trade Commission about Epic Games’ perceived anti-consumer chicanery via tweet. The official post shares the drop rates not only for the token but for a host of other rewards including a weekly gold skin that’s 10 times more rare than the thing that gets you nearly everything in the item shop for free for two weeks.
You asked for info on drop rates, so here’s how it works:
The new treasure this season is found in chests just like other items. Treasure drop rates from chests are constant since season launch and don’t vary throughout the day, except during Treasure Hours. Other than Gizmos,…
— Fortnite Status (@FortniteStatus) November 7, 2026
Here’s the breakdown:
- 1:1,562,500 – Weekly Gold Outfit
- 1:137,500 – Pirate Shop Access
- 1:7,813 – Weekly Vehicle & Decal
- 1:568 – Weekly Pickaxe or Backbling
- 1:391 – Weekly Jam Track
- 1:272 – Weekly Loading Screen
- 1:127 – Gizmo (any)
The odds of getting the token are actually better than community guesstimates that put it in the 1:700,000 range. Math understanders have converted the odds into percentages, with the token having a 0.000727-percent chance of getting got and the gold skin a 0.000064-percent chance. Helpfully (maybe), Epic has also shared how the odds increase during special blocks of time known as Treasure Hours. But even with a 1.5x boost for the token and a 7.5x boost for the gold skin, you’re still more likely to get hit by lightning in your lifetime than you are to win those items.
Fortnite finally posted the odds, so I did the math. Now I get to ruin everyone’s fun with numbers.
Pirate Shop Access: 1 in 137,500 per chest
Weekly Gold Outfit: 1 in 1,562,500 per chestThe following are more likely than you getting the Pirate Shop in one chest:
• Dying in a… https://t.co/xqBAF8hl7a pic.twitter.com/gQuiHqaua9— Vega Lyrae 🌌⚙️ (@VegaLyraeVT) November 8, 2026
The reaction to finally knowing the odds has been mixed with some players grateful to know exactly what their chances are while others are demanding Epic increase the odds. Epic’s post also said that the developers can potentially change boost rates for future Treasure Hours events, leaving players convinced that November 19th is gonna be a day treasure hunters can’t afford to miss.
“These rates may be higher in future Treasure Hours”
the 1000x multiplier to the pirate shop access token planned for november 19th https://t.co/90msg2kU47 pic.twitter.com/45n7Qn9HtJ
— star wyse (@Star_Wyse) November 7, 2026
