
The Regginator gave a speech at The Harris Nesbitt Media & Entertainment Conference in New York City on Tuesday. The speech is an amazingly insightful synopsis of Nintendo's view of the industry and upcoming next-gem console wars.
In a nutshell: Nintendo knows to move beyond "special effects" and find the path less traveled, in other worlds concentrating on creativity over brawn.
Reggie Fils-Aime pointed to a management best seller called Blue Oceans, which tells you to look beyond the bloody waters of competition and find your way to expand and grow as a company, as a good example of Nintendo's strategy.
He then moves on to talk a bit about the Revolution, saying that their "Freehand" controller "may prove to be our most lasting contribution to player interface."
Here's his reason why:
THAT S BECAUSE THIS CONTROLLER ITSELF BECOMES PART OF THE GAME. THE BASE UNIT IS RESEMBLES A SMALL TV REMOTE CONTROL IN ALMOST EVERY RESPECT EXCEPT FOR PERFORMANCE.THE CONTROLLER ITSELF BECOMES PART OF THE GAME. THRUST IT, TILT IT, TWIST IT CHOP, SWOOP AND SWIRL AND THE CORRESPONDING ACTION OCCURS ON SCREEN.
ANY VIDEO GAME CHARACTER ANY GAME GENRE IS TRANSFORMED, AS WE
EXPAND THE INTERFACE TRIGGERS BEYOND THE FINGERTIP TO THE HAND, THE WRIST AND THE ARM. YOU BECOME THE MAESTRO OF YOUR OWN GAME SYMPHONY.
THIS SINGLE DEVICE ALONE CAN COMMAND MANY GAMES. BUT IT S ONLY HALF THE STORY.A DOCKING SLOT AT ITS BOTTOM CAN ATTACH AN ALMOST INFINITE RANGE OF EXPANSION CONTROLLERS OPERATED BY YOUR OTHER HAND. THE MOST OBVIOUS ONE A JOYSTICK IS SHOWN HERE. BUT VIRTUALLY ANY ELEMENT FOR ASSISTING GAME CONTROL COULD BE ADDED.
WHAT THIS MEANS, FOR THE DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY, IS THE WIDEST RANGE OF FLEXIBILITY AND CREATIVE MUSCLE EVER BUILT INTO A VIDEO GAME SYSTEM.
CONSIDER ANY CLASSIC GAME ELEMENT SWINGING A SWORD, SLIDING INTO A TIGHT TURN, DELIVERING A BIG BLOW ON A TAILBACK AND NINTENDO REVOLUTION CAN MAKE THAT MOMENT BETTER.
The full speech is after the jump, be warned it is long.
GOOD MORNING, AND THANK YOU.
LET
S PLAY A GAME. WE
RE TURNING BACK THE CLOCK TWENTY YEARS, AND NAMING OURSELVES THE
MASTERS OF HOLLYWOOD
. IT
S UP TO US TO DETERMINE MOVIE PRODUCTION
NOT ONLY FOR A SINGLE STUDIO
BUT FOR THE WHOLE INDUSTRY. THE ONLY GREEN LIGHTS COME FROM US.
BY NOW, WE KNOW WHAT WORKS. WE SAW JAWS. WE SAW STAR WARS.
THE DAY OF THE BIG NAME STAR AND LEGENDARY DIRECTORS IS OVER. LET
S PUT ALL THE MONEY INTO WHAT WORKS—SPECIAL EFFECTS. THE AUDIENCE IS EATING THIS STUFF UP.
EVERYONE LOVED R-2-D-2 AND THOSE LIGHT SABRES. EVERYONE LOST IT WHEN THAT GIANT SHARK BIT OFF THE BACK OF ROBERT SHAW
S BOAT.
IT
S A NEW AGE, BABY. LET
S RIDE THE WAVE.
IT
S THE 80
S, AND OUR COMPUTERS ARE WORKING THEIR MAGIC. THEY
VE GOT E-T FLYING HIS BICYCLE ACROSS THE SKY.
THEY MAKE IT LOOK LIKE INDIANA JONES REALLY IS RUNNING IN FRONT OF THAT GIANT BOULDER.
AND YOU KNOW WHAT? IN THE TERMINATOR
THEY EVEN MAKE SCHWARZENEGGER LOOK REAL!
COMPUTERS CAN DO ANYTHING!
NOW LET
S JUMP AHEAD TO THE 90
S. LOOK AT ALL THOSE CITIES BLOWN UP IN INDEPENDENCE DAY. CAN YOU BELIEVE WE ONCE THOUGHT THAT STAR WARS STUFF WAS COOL?
AND FINALLY, LET
S MOVE TO THIS DECADE.
WE JUST DID THE LORD OF THE RINGS TRILOGY
MAYBE THE BADDEST STUFF EVER CAPTURED ON FILM. AWESOME.
AND WHEN IT COMES TO DESTRUCTION
ARE WE EVER GONNA TOP THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW? JUST THINK ABOUT IT
ONCE WE WERE HAPPY TO HAVE ONE SHARK ATTACKING FROM THE WATER.
NOW WE HAVE ALL THE WATER ON EARTH RISING—TO ATTACK EVERYONE!
THIS STUFF JUST KEEPS GETTING BETTER AND BETTER.
WE GIVE THE AUDIENCE WHAT THEY WANT—AND THEY GIVE US BILLIONS.
OF COURSE, THERE ARE ALWAYS GOING TO BE DOUBTERS. THOSE FAINT HEARTS WHO POINT TO WATERWORLD.
AND BATTLEFIELD EARTH.
AND HOWARD THE DUCK.
AND THE REMAKES OF GODZILLA AND ROLLERBALL.
AND YEAH, THE ADVENTURES OF PLUTO NASH
WHICH THEY SAY IS THE WORST MOVIE EVER MADE.
BUT LET
S NOT DWELL ON A COUPLE BILLION LOST.
AFTER ALL, WE ARE THE MASTERS OF THE MOVIE UNIVERSE!
WELL, FOR BETTER OR WORSE, THIS IS JUST PRETEND.
SURE, ALL OF THOSE MOVIES SPECIAL EFFECTS MOVIES WERE MADE.
BUT ALL THAT TIME, HOLLYWOOD REMEMBERED IT ALSO NEEDED DIFFERENT KINDS OF MOVIES
TO APPEAL TO DIFFERENT KINDS OF PEOPLE.
THE GODFATHER TRILOGY DID PRETTY WELL RELYING ON ACTING AND WRITING AND STORYLINE.
THE REAL HOLLYWOOD MADE TAXI DRIVER
AND RAGING BULL
AND AMADEUS
AND ANNIE HALL
AND SCHINDLER
S LIST
AND NAPOLEON DYNAMITE
AND THE LION KING
AND EVEN SIDEWAYS.
BUT IT MUST BE SAID THAT BIG BUDGET, BIG BANG THRILLERS HAVE REMAINED THE BREAD AND BUTTER OF HOLLYWOOD.
BECAUSE THEY
RE SURE THINGS, RIGHT?
WELL, NOT SO MUCH.
LAST YEAR THEATRE REVENUES WORLDWIDE WERE DOWN FOUR PERCENT
AND PAY PER VIEW MOVIE VIEWS DOWN 30%...DESPITE A SEVEN PERCENT INCREASE IN DVD SALES AND RENTALS.
AND THIS YEAR IN AMERICA, THEATRE REVENUES ARE DOWN ANOTHER SIX PERCENT
AND TOTAL TICKETS DOWN NINE PERCENT.
THE REASON?
THE LEADING SUSPECTS SEEM TO BE THOSE BIG BUDGET, BIG BANG, SURE-THING THRILLERS.
IN OCTOBER THE NEW YORK TIMES CITED A STEEP DECLINE IN THE NUMBER OF YOUNG MEN GOING TO THE MOVIES
THAT ABSOLUTE SWEET SPOT IN THE MARKET FOR EVERY ACTION FILM SCHWARZENEGGER AND BRUCE WILLIS AND VIN DIESEL EVER MADE.
THE HEAD OF FOX FILMS SAID HOLLYWOOD NEEDED TO CATER MORE TO AUDIENCES BEYOND YOUNG MEN. HE SAID,
IT MAKES NO SENSE TO CONTINUE AIMING ALL YOUR FILMS AT THE SAME DEMOGRAPHIC QUADRANT. EVENTUALLY, THEY BECOME STALE
IN OTHER WORDS, THE MOVIE INDUSTRY UNDERSTANDS THE NEED TO MOVE BEYOND SPECIAL EFFECTS.
BUT THE VIDEO GAME INDUSTRY
APPARENTLY
DOES NOT.
AS WE STAND HERE
WITH A NEW GENERATION OF EVEN MORE POWERFUL GAME TECHNOLOGY ABOUT TO BE UNLEASHED
THERE ARE TWO VERY DIFFERENT STRATEGIES IN PLAY.
SONY AND MICROSOFT ARE RACING TOWARD THE SAME GOAL— SHINY NEW VERSIONS
OF THE SAME OLD GAMES.
AND WE
RE NOT SUGGESTING THAT
S WRONG. AFTER ALL, IT
S WORKED IN THE PAST. THERE WILL ALWAYS BE A MARKET FOR
BIG BANG
.
BUT IT
S NOT THE ONLY WAY.
AND MAYBE EVEN NOT THE BEST WAY.
NINTENDO
AS I
LL EXPLAIN
IS TAKING A SECOND PATH. THE ONE LESS TRAVELED, YOU MIGHT SAY.
A PATH ALONG WHICH WE PLAN TO MOVE MILLIONS OF NEW PLAYERS TO NEW KINDS OF INTERACTIVE ENTERTAINMENT.
AND AS FOR CURRENT PLAYERS? FOR THEM
BRAND NEW WAYS TO PLAY.
IS THIS REALLY NECESSARY?
WE BELIEVE THE ANSWER TO THAT IS,
ABSOLUTELY
.
LET ME TAKE A FEW MINUTES TO EXPLAIN WHY.
THIS CHART IS FAMILIAR TO MOST INDUSTRY OBSERVERS. IT
S THE TREND OF JAPANESE GAME INDUSTRY REVENUES OVER THE PAST SEVERAL YEARS. WHAT USED TO WORK WELL
ISN
T WORKING AS WELL ANYMORE. THE CHART SPEAKS FOR ITSELF.
OF COURSE, WE WANT TO BELIEVE THAT THIS CAN
T HAPPEN HERE. SURELY THAT 16% DECLINE IN REVENUES WE SAW IN SEPTEMBER
AND THE 24% DROP IN GAME SALES
WERE FLUKES.
LIKEWISE, THE LAST TWO YEARS OF SALES DECLINES ARE PREDICTABLE APPROACHING THE BACK HALF OF A CYCLE. AND JUST WATCH—BUSINESS WILL BE BACK UP THIS YEAR
MAYBE BY DOUBLE DIGITS.
OF COURSE, A BRAND NEW HARDWARE CONSOLE
AND TWO NEW HANDHELDS
ARE NECESSARY TO TURN THE TIDE.
BUT BEFORE WE START LOOKING TOO FAR FORWARD, LET
S LOOK AT HOW THE CURRENT CONSOLE GENERATION IS WINDING DOWN.
WE HAVE CURRENTLY SOLD THROUGH 52 MILLION HOME SYSTEMS IN THIS CYCLE
BEATING ANY PREVIOUS ERA. INITIALLY MANY THOUGHT WE MIGHT REACH 60 MILLION
BUT THAT DOESN
T LOOK LIKE IT
S GOING TO HAPPEN.
BUT SCRATCH UNDERNEATH THAT NUMBER A LITTLE BIT, AND A DIFFERENT REALITY EMERGES. IN FACT, YOU START TO WONDER IF THE POPULARITY OF DEDICATED VIDEO GAMES IS REALLY INCREASING.
LOOK AT THIS GENERATION COMPARED TO THE FIRST ONE
15 YEARS AGO.
RESEARCH TODAY TELLS US THAT AMONG THOSE 52 MILLION MACHINES ALREADY SOLD
A FULL 24% ARE PART OF DUAL SYSTEM HOUSEHOLDS
AND EIGHT PERCENT RESIDE UNDER ROOFS WITH ALL THREE CONSOLES.
THE MATH SHOWS THAT OUR 52 MILLION SYSTEMS HAVE ONLY REACHED A LITTLE BIT BETTER THAN 35 MILLION DISCREET AMERICAN HOUSEHOLDS
ABOUT 31% OF ALL CURRENT U.S. HOMES.
BACK IN THE EIGHT BIT DAYS, THERE WAS ONLY ONE CONSOLE
THE ORIGINAL NINTENDO ENTERTAINMENT SYSTEM
WHICH MEANT THERE WERE NO DUAL HOUSEHOLDS. SO 31 MILLION SYSTEMS EQUALLED 31 MILLION HOMES. AND THAT REPRESENTED 33% OF ALL AMERICAN HOMES AT THE TIME.
IT
S UNSETTLING TO SEE THAT IN 15 YEARS, WE REALLY HAVEN
T INCREASED THE PERCENTAGE OF GAME PLAYING HOMES. THE POPULATION HAS GROWN
BUT OUR RELATIVE POPULARITY REALLY HASN
T.
THIS IS PARTICULARLY PERPLEXING BECAUSE EVERY YEAR, WE IMAGINE MILLIONS OF 10 OR 11 YEAR OLDS CONVINCING THEIR PARENTS TO BUY THEM THEIR FIRST HOME SYSTEMS
WHILE HUGE NUMBERS OF OLDER PLAYERS CARRY THEIR GAME PLAYING PASSION FURTHER AND FURTHER INTO ADULTHOOD.
IN THIS SCENARIO, THE INDUSTRY SHOULD BE BOOMING.
BUT INSTEAD, WE
RE LEFT ASKING,
WHERE
S THE GROWTH?
FURTHERMORE, IT LOOKS LIKE WE CAN
T EVEN COUNT ON POPULATION GROWTH ANYMORE.
ALL THROUGH THE 20-YEAR LIFESPAN OF THE DEDICATED GAME INDUSTRY, WE
VE SEEN A STEADY INCREASE IN THE NUMBER OF YOUNG BOYS ENTERING THEIR PRE-TEEN AND TEENAGED YEARS. HISTORICALLY, THESE ARE OUR
BLUE CHIP RECRUITS
.
BUT NOW, FOR THE FIRST TIME, THE NUMBER OF 10-TO-14 YEAR OLD BOYS HAS DROPPED.
AND IT
S GOING TO GET WORSE. BECAUSE RIGHT NOW THE U.S. POPULATION OF BOYS AGED 5 TO 9 YEAR IS A FULL EIGHT PERCENT SMALLER THAN THEIR 10-TO-14 YEAR OLD BROTHERS. THE PIPELINE IS SHRINKING.
IN OTHER WORDS, IF WE JUST MAINTAIN OUR RELATIVE POPULARITY
REVENUES ARE GOING TO FALL.
FINALLY, ONE MORE PIECE OF TROUBLING NEWS. THERE
S EVIDENCE THAT OUR POPULARITY ITSELF IS ON THE DECLINE.
IN SEPTEMBER, PIPER JAFFRAY CONDUCTED IN-CLASS SURVEYS OF HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS ACROSS THE COUNTRY. A FULL 75% OF ALL RESPONDENTS SAY THEIR INTEREST IN GAMING IS FALLING. AND THAT NUMBER ITSELF HAS JUMPED 16% IN A SINGLE YEAR.
THE SAME STUDY ALSO HIGHLIGHTED THE POLARIZATION OF THE GAME PLAYING MARKET. THE HARD CORE IS HARDER THAN EVER. THAT MINORITY, WHO SAY THEY PLAY GAMES DAILY, IS ACTUALLY UP A LITTLE BIT.
AND THE HARD CORE WANTS HARDER CONTENT. ACCORDING TO THE ESRB, THE PERCENTAGE OF GAMES SOLD WITH A MATURE RATING HAS GROWN STEADILY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL YEARS.
BUT AT THE SAME TIME, CASUAL PLAYERS MAY BE FALLING AWAY. MORE AND MORE RESPONDENTS WHO USED TO ENJOY GAMES ON A WEEKLY BASIS
NOW SAY THEY
RE DOING SO ONLY MONTHLY.
WHAT DOES THIS ALL MEAN?
CLEARLY, IT
S EASY TO IMAGINE A ROILING MASS OF OLDER, TECNO-MANIC, TRASH TALKING, GOTTA-HAVE-EVERYTHING, GOTTA-PLAY-EVERYTHING AFFICIANADOS. THEY ARE THE CURRENT REALITY OF THE DEDICATED HOME VIDEO GAME BUSINESS.
AND SOME WILL SAY, AS LONG AS THESE GUYS KEEP BUYING MORE, WHO CARES?
NINTENDO DOES. BECAUSE WE SEE IN OUR BUSINESS THE SAME THREAT THAT THE EXEC FROM FOX FILMS WAS TALKING ABOUT: AT SOME POINT, NO MATTER HOW BIG THE BOOM, DAZZLING BECOMES STALE.
SO
WHAT
S NINTENDO
S ANSWER?
WELL, AS A GUY WHO
S WORKED FOR EVERYONE FROM PROCTOR AND GAMBLE TO GUINNESS TO M-T-V
I KNOW WAY AROUND THE MANAGEMENT SECTION OF MY BARNES AND NOBLE.
AND THERE ARE TWO RECENT BEST SELLERS WHICH I THINK REALLY CAPTURE WHAT NINTENDO IS ALL ABOUT RIGHT NOW.
THE FIRST IS BLUE OCEAN STRATEGY. IT CITES SUCCESSFUL COMPANIES WHO
VE LOOKED BEYOND THE BLOODY, RED WATERS OF RUTHLESS COMPETITION.
COMPANIES WHO PUSHED THE ACCEPTED DEFINITION OF THEIR MARKETS
AND FOUND SO-CALLED BLUE OCEANS, WHERE THEY WERE ABLE TO EXPAND BUSINESS WHILE THE COMPETITON REMAINED BEHIND.
IN ORDER TO DO THIS, THOSE COMPANIES HAD TO SHIFT THEIR FOCUS FROM
WHAT IS
TO
WHAT CAN BE
.
EXAMPLES HERE INCLUDE HOW SOUTHWEST RETHOUGHT THE AIRLINE INDUSTRY
DELL THE P-C BUSINESS
AND CIRQUE DE SOLEIL REDEFINED THE VERY MEANING OF THE
CIRCUS
.
THE SECOND BOOK, INNOVATOR
S DILEMMA, EXTENDS THIS SAME THINKING A BIT FURTHER.
THE HARVARD AUTHORS DEMONSTRATE THAT NEW MARKETS ARE FREQUENTLY CREATED NOT BY LISTENING TO THE DESIRES OF CURRENT CUSTOMERS
BUT CATERING TO WHAT ARE SEEN AS SMALLER, EVEN FRINGE AUDIENCES.
IN REACHING THEM, THE TECHNOLOGY OR PERFORMANCE PROPOSITION INITIALLY CAN BE SEEN AS A STEP BACKWARDS.
INSTEAD, WHAT IS OFFERED IS
AND I QUOTE
TYPICALLY CHEAPER, SIMPLER, SMALLER, AND MORE CONVENIENT TO USE.
THE PRIMARY EXAMPLE HERE IS PROBABLY THE I-POD. IT WAS NOT THE FIRST PORTABLE MP-3 PLAYER
BUT THE FIRST ONE
COUPLED WITH I-TUNES
THAT OFFERED A COMPELLING COMBINATION OF SIMPLICITY AND EASE OF USE.
LOOKING AT THE CURRENT STATE OF THE VIDEO GAME MARKET, WE BELIEVE THERE
S A STRONG ARGUMENT FOR EXPANDING THE AUDIENCE BEYOND CURRENT CORE PLAYERS
ATTRACTING PLAYERS BY RETHINKING WHAT A VIDEO GAME MEANS
AND DELIVERING OUR ENTERTAINMENT IN A MORE CONVENIENT AND AFFORDABLE FASHION.
NOW, LET ME BE CLEAR. AM I SUGGESTING THAT MR. IWATA
NINTENDO
S WORLDWIDE PRESIDENT
PERSONALLY SAT DOWN, READ THESE BOOKS AND THEN SAID,
YEP
THAT
S IT
THAT
S WHAT WE
RE GOING TO DO!
?
OF COURSE NOT. BUT IN FACT, MR. IWATA STARTED SAYING THINGS SIMILAR TO WHAT THESE AUTHORS DESCRIBE
AND HE
S BEEN SAYING THIS EVEN BEFORE EITHER OF THOSE BOOKS WAS PUBLISHED.
HERE
S A SMALL SAMPLING OF WHAT I MEAN:
IF WE CAN NOT EXPAND THE MARKET, ALL WE CAN DO IS WAIT FOR THE INDUSTRY TO SLOWLY DIE.
IT IS OUR RESPONSIBILITY TO MAKE GAMES FOR ALL SKILL LEVELS
INCLUDING PEOPLE WHO ARE NOT NOW PLAYING GAMES.
TECHNOLOGY ALONE CAN NOT ADVANCE VIDEO GAMES
WHICH IS WHY WE PLAN TO TAKE REVOLUTION IN A DRAMATIC NEW DIRECTION.
THE RESONANCE IS CLEAR. EXPAND THE MARKET BEYOND THE CORE. GO WHERE OTHER COMPANIES WON
T. DON
T WORRY ABOUT EXPANDING CURRENT PERFORMANCE METRICS
AS LONG AS YOU OVERPERFORM ON EASE, SIMPLICITY AND COST.
IN OTHER WORDS, BUILD IT RIGHT
AND THEY WILL COME.
NOW, WE AGREE THAT DRAWING UP A PLAN IS ONE THING. EXECUTING IT IS QUITE ANOTHER.
AS JACK WELCH ONCE SAID,
IN REAL LIFE, STRATEGY IS ACTUALLY VERY STRAIGHTFORWARD. YOU PICK A GENERAL DIRECTION
AND IMPLEMENT LIKE HELL.
WE
RE BEYOND PLANNING.
WE
RE ALREADY IMPLEMENTING LIKE HELL.
OVER THE LAST 15 YEARS, WE
VE CONSTANTLY DOMINATED THE HANDHELD VIDEO GAME INDUSTRY. THE LATEST ITERATION, OUR GAME BOY ADVANCE LINE, HAS SOLD MORE HARDWARE UNITS IN AMERICA OVER THE LAST FOUR YEARS AS ANY OTHER GAME PLATFORM OF ANY KIND.
THE LOGICAL DECISION WOULD BE LINE EXTENSION
GIVE OWNERS A BETTER VERSION OF WHAT THEY ALREADY LOVE. AFTER ALL, WE
VE DONE THIS BEFORE.
BUT INSTEAD, WE DISRUPTED OUR OWN MARKET
ONE WE ALREADY OWNED.
THE DISRUPTION WAS THE NINTENDO DS
A NEW KIND OF PORTABLE GAME SYSTEM
ONE WHICH UNDISPUTEDLY ALTERED WHAT HAD COME BEFORE.
WE GAVE IT TWO SCREENS INSTEAD OF ONE.
MADE ONE OF THEM A TOUCHSCREEN.
AND ADDED A MICROPHONE.
ADMITTEDLY, WHEN WE FIRST DESCRIBED D-S
MANY PLAYERS CALLED IT
QUIRKY
. IT WAS SUCH A DEPARTURE THAT MANY EXISTING GAME BOY OWNERS COULDN
T UNDERSTAND WHAT THESE FEATURES MEANT.
AS IS OFTEN THE CASE IN OUR INDUSTRY, IT TOOK A SINGULAR PIECE OF SOFTWARE
IN THIS CASE, NINTENDOGS
TO MAKE THE ANSWER CLEAR.
AS A LEGACY TO MARKET-MOVING TITLES LIKE TETRIS AND POKEMON
THIS SOFTWARE HAS PORTABLE GAMING
GOING TO THE DOGS
AND IN A VERY GOOD WAY!
TO DATE, WORLDWIDE SALES ARE CURRENTLY APPROACHING TWO MILLION GAMES
ON A HOST SYSTEM WITH AN INSTALLED BASE OF LESS THAN EIGHT MILLION.
THAT KIND OF PENETRATION RATE
OVER 25%—IS INCREDIBLE IN SUCH A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.
NINTENDOGS IS ALSO MEETING A MORE IMPORTANT CRITERION FOR HIT SOFTWARE
IT
S HELPING BOOST HARDWARE SALES.
SINCE NINTENDOG
S LAUNCH IN THE U.S., ALONG WITH A $20 PRICE DROP, D-S HARDWARE SALES RATES HAVE HELD FIRM AT MORE THAN TWICE WHAT THEY WERE PREVIOUSLY.
IN JAPAN
THE INCREASE WAS EVEN HIGHER.
AND IN EUROPE, THE ARRIVAL OF NITENDOGS BOOSTED HARDWARE UNITS BY A FACTOR OF FOUR.
AND THE OPPORTUNITY BECOMES MORE IRRESISTABLE THIS FALL
WHEN
SPECIAL FRIENDS
BUNDLES ARRIVE FEATURING A NINTENDO DS SYSTEM
AND A CUSTOM COMBINATION OF BREEDS.
FOR ANY GUY WHO LOATHES TRIPS TO THE PERFUME OR LINGERIE DEPARTMENTS
I DON
T KNOW IF THERE
S A BETTER HOLIDAY GIFT OPTION FOR HIS SPECIAL GIRL.
THAT
S BECAUSE THIS IS A DIFFERENT KIND OF GAME
INTENDED TO ATTRACT A DIFFERENT KIND OF GAMER. IT HAS NO SET BEGINNING OR END
NO WAY TO WIN. IT ISN
T COMPETITIVE.
BUT IT
S DISTINCTLY SOCIAL
NOT ONLY BETWEEN OWNER AND PET
BUT EVEN BETWEEN OWNERS. STRANGERS CARRYING NINTENDOGS ON THE D-S CAN QUICKLY BECOME FRIENDS WHEN THEIR DOGS
FIND
EACH OTHER WIRELESSLY
AND BEGIN PLAYING TOGETHER.
WHAT THIS MEANS IS THAT A SO-CALLED
FRINGE
MARKET THAT THE INDUSTRY HAS LONG COVETED
NAMELY, FEMALES
IS FINDING A GAME FOR THEMSELVES WITH NINTENDOGS.
NOT ONLY IS THE PERCENTAGE OF FEMALE PLAYERS DOUBLE WITH NINTENDOGS AS WITH OTHER D-S GAMES
BUT THE NUMBER OF NEW D-S PURCHASERS ALSO FEATURES TWICE THE PREVIOUS PERCENTAGE OF WOMEN.
THIS IS A PRIME EXAMPLE OF THE IDEA OF EXPANDING A MARKET
TO WHAT MIGHT BE CONSIDERED
FRINGE
PLAYERS
BUT WHOSE RETAIL DOLLARS ARE WORTH EVERY BIT AS MUCH AS THEIR HARD CORE COUNTERPARTS.
TWO MORE QUICK NOTES ON THE INTERSECTION OF NINTENDO DS
AND THE BLUE OCEAN.
AS A LEVER TO EXPAND MARKET, NINTENDOGS IS NOT, YOU MIGHT SAY, A
ONE TRICK PUPPY
.
ELECTROPLANKTON IS SOFTWARE THAT WAS DEMONSTRATED AT E3
NOT A GAME, BUT A CREATIVITY TOOL, DESIGNED SPECIFICALLY TO ALLOW USERS TO COMPOSE MUSIC.
IN JAPAN, WE
VE SEEN GREAT SUCCESS WITH TWO OTHER SOFTWARE TITLES, BRAIN TRAINING AND BRAIN FLEX, WHOSE PROMISE IS TO SHARPEN THINKING
ESPECIALLY AMONG OLDER USERS.
THE PROGRAMMING IS EXCEPTIONALLY EASY. A TEAM OF LESS THAN TEN DEVELOPERS COMPLETED BRAIN TRAINING IN LESS THAN FOUR MONTHS.
BUT THE IMPACT HAS BEEN DYNAMIC. SALES OF THE TWO BRAIN GAMES NOW STAND AT OVER ONE AND A QUARTER MILLION IN JAPAN. AND THE POSITIVE IMPACT ON D-S HARDWARE SALES HAS NEARLY MATCHED THAT OF NINTENDOGS.
AND THAT
S WHY
AS SOME OF YOU MAY NOT BE AWARE
NINTENDO D-S IS RIGHT NOW THE BEST SELLING GAME SYSTEM IN JAPAN
OUTSELLING EVEN THE RUNNERUP PLAYSTATION 2 BY A MARGIN OF 20% SO FAR THIS YEAR
AND NEARLY A TWO-TO-ONE MARGIN AFTER NINTENDOGS ARRIVED THERE.
HOWEVER, WE BELIEVE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ADVANCE REPRESENTED BY NINTENDO D-S MAY JUST NOW BE ARRIVING.
NEXT WEEK THE NINTENDO WIFI CONNECTION ROLLS OUT ACROSS AMERICA
AND SOON AFTER, THE WORLD.
CERTAINLY, IT
S NOT NOVEL FOR GAME PLAYERS
EITHER ON P-C OR ON DEDICATED CONSOLE
TO SQUARE OFF AGAINST EACH OTHER OVER DISTANCE.
THOSE PLAYERS ARE TIED TO THEIR MACHINE
AND BEYOND THE REALM OF BASIC CARD OR PUZZLE GAMES
THEY PAY FOR THE PRIVELEGE.
THE TWO ONLINE COMMUNITIES DIFFER DRAMATICALLY, HOWEVER, IN TONE.
CONSOLE ONLINE PLAY IS THE DOMAIN OF THE DOMINANT. IT IS RULED BY HARD CORE ALPHAS.
P-C ONLINE TYPICALLY IS THE OPPOSITE. MIDDLE AGED WOMEN PLAYING ONLINE FREQUENTLY WON
T CALL OUT A
BINGO
UNTIL EVERY PLAYER IN THE GAME HAS ALSO WON. IT IS PURELY SOCIAL.
IS THERE A METHODOLOGY THAT BRIDGES THAT DIVIDE?
YES. IT
S THE NINTENDO WIFI CONNECTION.
FIRST, CONNECTING TO AN ONLINE WIFI COMMUNITY HAS NEVER BEEN EASIER. YOU MAY DO SO AT HOME, CONNECTING YOUR D-S TO YOUR HIGHSPEED WIRELESS NETWORK
OR TO YOUR DESKTOP OR LAPTOP WITH A PROPRIETARY U-S-B ADAPTER.
THAT LAPTOP CONNECTION CAN ALSO WORK IN ANY REMOTE HOTSPOT. BUT AS IMPORTANTLY, WAYPORT WILL PROVIDE DEDICATED ACCESS TO THE EXCLUSIVE NINTENDO D-S COMMUNITY AT MORE THAN SIX THOUSAND MCDONALDS LOCATIONS IN NORTH AMERICA.
AFFORDABILITY IS GUARANTEED. THERE WILL BE NO ADDITIONAL CHARGE FOR ACCESS
OR FOR WIFI PLAY ON ANY FIRST PARTY NINTENDO GAME.
AT LAUNCH, TWO TITLES WILL IMMEDIATELY DEMONSTRATE THE DIVERSITY OF THIS GAMING COMMUNITY.
AN EXCLUSIVE VERSION OF ACTIVISION
S TONY HAWK FRANCHISE WILL BE OPEN TO ALL COMERS, WHETHER THE GOAL IS PURE COMPETITION OR CREATING YOUR OWN CUSTOM DESIGNS AND TAGS.
WHILE MARIO KART DS
ITSELF A FAMILIAR NAME TO MILLIONS OF GAMERS AROUND THE WORLD
WILL ALLOW PLAYERS TO SELECT THEIR OWN COMFORT LEVEL.
THAT
S BECAUSE YOU CAN CHOOSE TO COMPETE ONLY AMONG YOUR FRIENDS
OR AMONG PLAYERS OF SIMILAR SKILL LEVELS
OR AMONG ANY AVAILABLE PLAYERS.
IN THIS WAY, MARIO KART CAN PROVIDE EITHER AN ENVIRONMENT FREE OF EXCESSIVE COMPETITION
OR ONE FILLED WITH IT.
IN THE COMING WEEKS, THE RELEASE OF ANIMAL CROSSING DS WILL LET YOU INTERACT SAFELY WITHIN THE WALLS OF YOUR VILLAGE...ONLY WITH YOUR FRIENDS.
AND THEN, AFTER THE FIRST OF THE YEAR, THE HIGH-INTENSITY ACTION OF METROID PRIME HUNTERS WILL CONNECT THE
BEST OF THE BLASTERS
AROUND THE WORLD.
NINTENDO WIFI MEETS THE REQUIREMENTS FOR BLUE OCEAN MARKET EXPANSION. MAKE IT APPEAL TO NEW CUSTOMERS. MAKE IT EASY. AND MAKE IT AFFORDABLE.
WE THINK FREE IS GOING TO PROVE VERY AFFORDABLE.
(pause)
I WANT TO MOVE ON TODAY BY TALKING ABOUT OUR UPCOMING HOME CONSOLE
CODE-NAMED NINTENDO REVOLUTION
IN WAYS THAT ALSO MAKE IT CLEAR HOW IT SERVES AS A POTENTIAL CASE STUDY FOR BLUE OCEAN STRATEGY OR THE INNOVATOR
S DILEMMA.
CLAYTON CHRISTENSEN POINTS OUT THAT SO-CALLED SUSTAINING, OR EXISTING MARKET TECHNOLOGIES, ARE INHERENTLY GEARED TO DELIVER INCREMENTAL INCREASES IN PERFORMANCE
TO CUSTOMERS WHO VALUE WHAT
S ALREADY BEING DELIVERED.
A BETTER DESCRIPTION OF THE LINEAR ADVANCES REPRESENTED BY BOTH THE NEW SONY AND MICROSOFT CONSOLES COULD NOT BE WRITTEN.
CHRISTENSEN ALSO OBSERVES THAT THIS KIND OF STRATEGY FREQUENTLY RESULTS IN,
OVERSHOOTING THE MARKET
GIVING CUSTOMERS MORE THAN THEY NEED
OR ARE WILLING TO PAY FOR.
WILL THE NEW COMPETING CONSOLES ALSO MATCH THIS DESCRIPTION?
WELL, I
M SURE EVERYONE IS ANXIOUS TO FIND OUT.
NINTENDO REVOLUTION IS DECIDEDLY NOT RUNNING IN THIS RACE. NOT BECAUSE WE CAN
T AFFORD THE ENTRY FEE.
BUT BECAUSE WE DON
T WANT THE PRIZE.
THERE IS NO GUARANTEE THAT EVEN THE WINNER AMONG THESE TWO WILL BE REWARDED
WITH PROFITS. IT
S CLEAR THAT THE BILLIONS INVESTED CAN ONLY BE RATIONALIZED BY CONSIDERING A LARGER CORPORATE GOAL.
IT TAKES A LONG TIME TO ESCAPE THE RED INK WHEN BILLIONS ARE SPENT BEFORE THE FIRST MACHINE IS SOLD
AND MORE MONEY IS LOST EVERY TIME THE CASH REGISTER RINGS.
WE INTEND FOR REVOLUTION
JUST LIKE EVERY OTHER NINTENDO SYSTEM
TO ACTUALLY MAKE MONEY.
AS I
VE SAID, THE STRATEGY FOR MAXIMIZING OUR RETURN IS TWOFOLD: ATTRACT NEW PLAYERS
AND ATTRACT CURRENT PLAYERS WITH NEW FORMS OF PLAY.
REVOLUTION
S FIRST ANNOUNCED APPEAL SERVES BOTH GROUPS
OUR
VIRTUAL CONSOLE
CONCEPT. IT NOT ONLY OFFERS DIRECT BACKWARD COMPATIBILITY TO ALL GAMECUBE SOFTWARE
BUT VIA DOWNLOADING, TO A LIBRARY OF GAMES THAT SPANS THE ENTIRE 20 YEARS OF NINTENDO
S CONSOLE HISTORY.
FOR THE HIGHER AGE GROUP, THIS IS A NOSTALGIA TRIP
AND AN EMOTIONALLY-CHARGED ONE, AT THAT.
HOW MANY DEVICES ALLOW YOU TO RELIVE PART OF YOUR YOUTH?
AT THE SAME TIME, MOST OF THOSE GAMES ARE IN FACT BRAND NEW TITLES EVEN TO THOSE APPROACHING THEIR 20
S.
TO BORROW ANOTHER MOVIE ANALOGY, THE WIZARD OF OZ IS A REVELATION THE FIRST TIME YOU SEE IT
NO MATTER HOW MANY YEARS AFTER IT WAS FILMED.
IN OUR INDUSTRY, NINTENDO OWNS THE EQUIVALENT OF THE BACK LIBRARIES OF M-G-M AND UNITED ARTISTS AND PARAMOUNT PUT TOGETHER.
VIRTUAL CONSOLE
IS A DIRECT PIPELINE TO NEW, SIMPLICITY-SEEKING, BLUE OCEAN CUSTOMERS.
AND THESE ARE PROVEN, HIGH QUALITY GAME EXPERIENCES THAT WE CAN, OF COURSE, MAKE AVAILABLE AT A FAR MORE AFFORDABLE PRICE THAN CURRENT HITS.
THE NOSTALGIA CARD ALONE DOESN
T MAKE A WINNING HAND. FOR THAT, WE
VE ALSO GOT TO OFFER THE BASE PLAYERS SOMETHING THEY
LL FIND IRRESISTABLE.
AND DESPITE ITS MODEST APPEARANCE
THIS IS IT.
THE
FREEHAND
CONTROLLER DESIGN FOR NINTENDO REVOLUTION ONCE AGAIN BUILDS ON OUR UNPARALLELED HERITAGE OF IMPROVING HOW A GAME FEELS
BEYOND JUST HOW IT LOOKS.
MANY OF YOU ARE AWARE THAT THE STANDARD CONTROLLER D-PAD
THE ANALOG JOYSTICK
AND THE RUMBLE PAK
WERE ALL FEATURES FIRST INTRODUCED BY NINTENDO.
BUT THE FREEHAND SYSTEM MAY PROVE TO BE OUR MOST LASTING CONTRIBUTION TO PLAYER INTERFACE.
THAT
S BECAUSE THIS CONTROLLER ITSELF BECOMES PART OF THE GAME. THE BASE UNIT IS RESEMBLES A SMALL TV REMOTE CONTROL IN ALMOST EVERY RESPECT
EXCEPT FOR PERFORMANCE.
THE CONTROLLER ITSELF BECOMES PART OF THE GAME. THRUST IT, TILT IT, TWIST IT
CHOP, SWOOP AND SWIRL
AND THE CORRESPONDING ACTION OCCURS ON SCREEN.
ANY VIDEO GAME CHARACTER
ANY GAME GENRE
IS TRANSFORMED, AS WE EXPAND THE INTERFACE TRIGGERS BEYOND THE FINGERTIP
TO THE HAND, THE WRIST AND THE ARM. YOU BECOME THE MAESTRO OF YOUR OWN GAME SYMPHONY.
THIS SINGLE DEVICE ALONE CAN COMMAND MANY GAMES. BUT IT
S ONLY HALF THE STORY.
A DOCKING SLOT AT ITS BOTTOM CAN ATTACH AN ALMOST INFINITE RANGE OF EXPANSION CONTROLLERS
OPERATED BY YOUR OTHER HAND. THE MOST OBVIOUS ONE
A JOYSTICK
IS SHOWN HERE. BUT VIRTUALLY ANY ELEMENT FOR ASSISTING GAME CONTROL COULD BE ADDED.
WHAT THIS MEANS, FOR THE DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY, IS THE WIDEST RANGE OF FLEXIBILITY AND CREATIVE MUSCLE EVER BUILT INTO A VIDEO GAME SYSTEM.
CONSIDER ANY CLASSIC GAME ELEMENT
SWINGING A SWORD, SLIDING INTO A TIGHT TURN, DELIVERING A BIG BLOW ON A TAILBACK
AND NINTENDO REVOLUTION CAN MAKE THAT MOMENT BETTER.
WE DELIBERATELY DELAYED GIVING THE FULL THIRD PARTY DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY DETAILS ON THE FREEHAND SYSTEM, BECAUSE WE KNEW WE NEEDED TO SHOW AS WELL AS TELL.
BUT NOW THAT THEY
VE SEEN IT, THE RESPONSE FROM DEVELOPMENT GROUPS IS OFF THE CHARTS. FOR THEM, THIS IS NOT JUST DIFFERENT
IT
S LIBERATING.
NOT JUST BECAUSE IT PROMISES THE ABILITY TO DO MORE THAN EVER BEFORE.
BUT ALSO TO DO LESS.
REVOLUTION
S FREEHAND CONTROL BRINGS BACK INTO THE EQUATION THE ABILITY TO DO SIMPLER YET GROUNDBREAKING GAMES
REQUIRING FEWER TEAM MEMBERS
FEWER DOLLARS
AND FEWER HOURS.
WE KNOW FREEHAND CONTROL ALSO RAISES A LOGICAL QUESTION. WON
T AN ADVANCE THIS DRAMATIC CAUSE DIFFICULTY FOR THE PORTING OF GAMES BETWEEN SYSTEMS?
THE ANSWER IS LITTLE DIFFICULTY AT ALL.
IF YOU WANT TO RETAIN YOUR ORIGINAL CONTROL SCHEME, WE MAKE THAT EASY BY SUPPLEMENTING OUR NEW CONTROL SYSTEM WITH A TRADITIONAL CONTOLLER EXPANSION, IF YOU WILL.
IT
S A CLASSIC-LOOKING DEVICE THAT WILL HOLD THE BASIC REVOLUTION CONTROLLER, AND ALLOW GAME MANIPULATION IN TRADITIONAL WAYS
IF THAT
S WHAT THE DEVELOPER CHOOSES.
IN SHORT, YOU CAN HAVE IT BOTH WAYS.
FAMILIAR
OR REVOLUTIONARY.
ONE HAND
OR TWO.
TODAY
S GAMES
OR TOMORROW
S.
(pause)
I
LL CLOSE TODAY WITH ONE MORE THOUGHT FROM JACK WELCH.
HE SAID:
CHANGE
BEFORE YOU HAVE TO.
FOR OUR INDUSTRY, WE BELIEVE IT
S TIME TO CHANGE.
THE ENTIRE BET ON THIS UPCOMING GENERATION OF HOME SYSTEMS
FOR MANUFACTURERS AND PUBLISHERS
BOILS DOWN TO CHANGE.
DO WE ONLY GIVE THEM MORE OF WHAT THEY
VE ALWAYS WANTED
NO MATTER WHAT THE COST?
OR DARE TO GIVE THEM SOMETHING NEW?
DO WE CHANGE?
DO WE MAKE GAMES THAT PLAY JUST LIKE THE OLD ONES? OR EXPAND THE VERY DEFINITION OF A GAME?
DO
WE
CHANGE?
ARE WE SATISFIED JUST SERVING CURRENT PLAYERS?
OR DO WE OFFER A TURN TO THE MILLIONS STILL STANDING ON THE SIDELINES?
DO WE HAVE THE COURAGE
TO CHANGE?
FOR NINTENDO, WE
RE NOT LEAVING THE OLD MARKET BEHIND.
WE
RE JUST OUT TO EXPAND IT
TO SHOW THE WORLD WHAT A BIGGER, MORE ROBUST, MORE PROFITABLE MARKET LOOKS LIKE.
BLUE OCEAN
HERE WE COME!
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TODAY!









