Kyle Orland, formerly of Video Game Media Watch, currently of Joystiq, and now the Media Coverage Columnist over at Game Daily, reviewed a year's worth of Electronic Gaming Monthly's Quartermann rumor mill, to see how it does at predicting things to come in the gaming industry.

Orland reviewed the rumors that appeared in the columns that ran from January to December of 2003. He decided to go back that far to make sure he would be able to accurately track whether they turned out to be true or not.

To deal with the plethora of issues that pop up when someone tries to score the accuracy of a bunch of subjective rumors, Orland scored each rumor outcome on a scale of one to five. With one being completely false and five being completely true.

The end result? EGM's rumor ramblings score a 3.1 out of 5 or a bit more than 50 percent (As the big O pointed out to me, his scale starts at one not zero). While Orland says that means that the rumors are right a bit more than half of the time, that sounds like failing in my book.

Hit up the post for the Excel sheet that shows all of the nitty gritty and his thought process. I hope we see more of these in the future. The only thing I like better than statistics and games is the wonderful blending of peanut butter and chocolate. Brian Crecente

Rumor Report Ratings [Media Coverage]

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